مدلی برای روابط ریسک‌های زنجیرۀ تأمین صنعت پتروشیمی در ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری، گروه مدیریت صنعتی، دانشکدۀ مدیریت و حسابداری، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران

2 استاد، گروه مدیریت صنعتی، دانشکدۀ مدیریت و حسابداری، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران

3 دانشیار، گروه مدیریت صنعتی، دانشکدۀ مدیریت و حسابداری، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران

چکیده

در محیط پیچیده و پیش‌بینی‌ناپذیر زنجیرۀ تأمین، تلاش برای کاهش ریسک ممکن است به کاهش یا افزایش دیگر ریسک‌ها بینجامد؛ ازاین‌رو شناسایی ریسک‌های زنجیرۀ تأمین و روابط بین آنها ضروری است و به راهبرد مؤثرتر و جامع‌تر کاهش ریسک منجر می‌شود. هدف این تحقیق شناسایی و استخراج ساختار روابط ریسک‌های بالقوۀ زنجیرۀ تأمین است. در این مقاله، با مرور پیشینۀ پژوهش و براساس نظرخواهی از خبرگان، دوازده ریسک‌ اصلی زنجیرۀ تأمین صنعت پتروشیمی شناسایی شد، سپس با استفاده از فرایند مدل‌سازی تفسیری- ساختاری روابط بین ریسک‌ها استخراج و در نهایت اعتبار مدل از طریق مدل‌سازی معادلات ساختاری آزمون شد. نوآوری این پژوهش ترکیب رویکرد مدل‌سازی تفسیری- ساختاری و معادلات ساختاری است. نتایج نشان داد که ریسک‌های محیط خارجی زنجیرۀ تأمین (ریسک‌‌های طبیعی، سیاسی- اجتماعی، خط‌مشی و اقتصاد کلان) در سطوح پایین مدل قرار می‌گیرند و بیشترین اثر را بر دیگر ریسک‌ها دارند و عامل ظهور و تشدید ریسک‌های محیط صنعت (بازار محصول و رقابت، بازار نهاده‌ها و ارتباطات و همکاری) و محیط سازمانی (ریسک‌های عملیاتی، مالی، راهبردی، تعهد و فرهنگ سازمانی و کارکنان) به‌شمار می‌روند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

A Model for Relationship of Supply Chain Risks in Iran’s Petrochemical Industry

نویسندگان [English]

  • Ali Atashsooz 1
  • Kamran Feizi 2
  • Abolfazl Kazazi 3
  • Laya Olfat 3
1 Ph.D. student, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Allameh Tabataba’i University, Tehran, Iran
2 Professor, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Allameh Tabataba’i University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Associate Prof., Faculty of Management and Accounting, Allameh Tabataba’i University, Tehran, Iran.
چکیده [English]

In a complex and volatile environment of the supply chain, any attempt to reduce the risks may increase or decrease other risks; thus, achieving an overall picture of the risks of supply chain and relationships between them are necessary and will lead to more effective and comprehensive strategy to response to risks. The purpose of this paper is identifying and extracting the potential risks of supply chain relationships using interpretive structural modeling (ISM) approach. In order to do that, first an in-depth literature review has done and experts opinions with content validity has used, and then, the ISM model representing the structure of risks relationship has extract and the final model has statistically tested using path analysis. The results show that the external environment supply chain risks (natural risks, political/social, policy and macroeconomic), at a low levels of the model, have the most driving power and organizational risks (operational, financial, strategic, liability and organizational culture and employee), at the top the model, are the most dependent risks. industrial risks (market and product competition; market inputs, communications and collaboration).

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Interpretive structural modeling
  • Path analysis
  • Petrochemical Industry
  • Supply Chain Risk

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مدیریت صنعتی
دوره 7، شماره 3
مهر 1394
صفحه 405-424

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